Treasury Yield Curve Analysis — September 15, 2026

On Tuesday, September 15, 2026, the 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.36, which is higher than the 5.25 recorded one week ago on September 8. The 10-year Treasury rate stood at 5.00, up from 4.80 a week earlier. The 2-year Treasury rate came in at 4.67, higher than the 4.39 from the previous Tuesday. All three key maturities posted gains over the one-week period.

Every maturity on the Treasury yield curve moved higher from one week ago. The 3-year rate showed the largest increase, rising from 4.44 to 4.76. The 5-year rate climbed from 4.57 to 4.83, and the 7-year rate moved from 4.68 to 4.91. At the short end, the 4-week rate rose from 3.81 to 3.93 and the 6-month rate went from 4.00 to 4.17. The 30-year Treasury yield had the smallest weekly gain at 0.11.

Over the past month, rates across the curve have risen notably. The 3-year rate moved from 4.25 on August 4 to 4.76 today, a gain of 0.51, while the 5-year rate rose from 4.33 to 4.83. The 10-year Treasury rate is now 5.00, higher than the 4.63 recorded 30 days ago. Compared to one year ago, the 10-year rate is 0.95 higher than the 4.05 from September 15, 2025, and the 30-year Treasury yield is 0.70 higher than the 4.66 from that same date.

The Treasury yield curve shows two inversions today. The 6-month rate of 4.17 is lower than the 4-month rate of 4.19, and the 30-year Treasury yield of 5.36 is lower than the 20-year rate of 5.40. Both of these inversions were also present one week ago, when the 6-month rate was 4.00 against the 4-month rate of 4.02 and the 30-year was 5.25 against the 20-year at 5.26. Thirty days ago, neither